Is it better to invest in gold or in gold mine stocks?
الأربعاء، 24 أغسطس 2016
Think of it this way. In a hypothetical mine, the production and other related costs to get an ounce of gold is $1000. Suppose the gold market price is $1100, the mine makes a profit of $100/ounce. However, if the gold price doubles and goes to $2200, the mine makes a profit of $1200/ounce (production cost stays the same). In other words, the mine's profits jumped 12 times when the gold market price went up by just 2 times. Same works on the downside too. If the gold prices drops 20%, the mine is in red ink.
Thus, gold mining is typically a levered investment in gold and hence more risky. Moreover, you need to think of the following factors in investing in a mining company:
Thus, gold mining is typically a levered investment in gold and hence more risky. Moreover, you need to think of the following factors in investing in a mining company:
- Is the mining company a junior (who mostly explores for new reserves) or a senior (who buy the promising mines from juniors and extract the metal). Juniors are quite risky.
- Are there labor unrest or political instability in the area? In the past, many countries have nationalized mines and workers have disrupted production.
- What are the total reserves estimated in each of the mines owned by the company?investing in the metal.
- What is the trend in production costs? Are they going up substantially?
In general, investing in a gold mine requires a lot of homework and is not the same as
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